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A Unique Investment Approach...
The services listed here are intended for domestic equity managers seeking a unique stream of investment ideas unavailable from any other source.   The research process of the Horizon Research Group has always centered on finding long-term investment opportunties with a substantial margin of safety.  The conceptual framework of the "equity yield" curve allows identification of "equity coupons" with the highest discount rates and greatest magnitude.  Companies that have an indeterminate nature of revealing their cash flow are often discounted at truly amazing rates.  The Contrarian Research Report, The Global Contrarian Research Report, and The Stahl Report presents these unique investment opportunties to their subscribers.
U.S. Equities

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The Contrarian Research Report Horizon Research Group
The Contrarian Research Report, authored by Murray Stahl, employs a value-oriented, event-driven investment strategy that seeks to capitalize on the most inefficient and attractive investment opportunities in the small cap equity arena. Murray uses a time-intensive, investigative style of research to uncover behind the scenes, proprietary information about each company. Investment recommendations focus on companies with significant barriers to entry that have the ability to generate a high and sustainable return on invested capital. While the vast majority of such companies trade at or near fair value, opportunities present themselves when transitory events temporarily depress share prices. These situations are the primary focus of the research process.
PDF Buy Recommendation - Global Cash Access Holdings, Inc. - December 8, 2010
PDF Buy Recommendation - Penske Automotive Group, Inc. - January 31, 2011
PDF June 2010 Contrarian Research Report Compendium


The Stahl Report Horizon Research Group
The Stahl Report focuses on domestic companies with market caps above $5 billion and derives investment decisions based upon a philosophy consistent with value investing. Accordingly, recommendations will typically have low valuations based on earnings, sales, book value, cash flow or some other appropriate valuation measure. The service focuses on companies with sustainable business models with the ability to generate high and sustainable returns on capital. Recommendations will often maintain a leading or improving market position, undervalued asset or product portfolio, credible management or are in a position to capitalize on some impending event that will create a high level of future earnings growth. The Stahl Report specializes in identifying companies with valuations indicative of permanent earnings impairment, while our analysis indicates the company’s challenges to be transitory in nature with a high likelihood of financial improvement.
PDF Buy Recommendation - Lorillard, Inc. (LO) - March 10, 2011
PDF February 2011 Stahl Report Compendium


The Spin-Off Report Institutional Research Group, Horizon Research Group
The Spin-Off Report, authored by Murray Stahl, Steve Ferazani and Michael Wolleben, monitors the progress of all U.S. spin-offs from announcement date through when-issued trading, and continues coverage through the first quarter of trading. The service provides comprehensive research reports with fair value estimates on both subsidiaries and parent companies prior to divestiture. The Spin-Off Radar Screen, published monthly, provides an overview of companies believes to be potential spin-off candidates. In addition, clients receive the Bits & Pieces report; a monthly supplement to the service that identifies mispriced stub securities, tracking stocks and other arbitrage opportunities. The Spin-Off Report Compendium provides Murray Stahl with an effective forum to discuss the market environment for spin-offs, as well as investment ideas outside the traditional spin-off space, such as carve-outs and tracking stocks. Murray will also discuss spin-offs that have fallen out of favor with investors.
PDF June 2011 Spin-Off Calendar
PDF August 2011 Spin-Off Radar Screen
PDF April 2011 Spin-Off Comprehensive on Marathon Oil Corporation


The Bankruptcy Calendar Institutional Research Group
Authored by the Institutional Research Group, The Bankruptcy Calendar monitors the progress of all U.S. listed companies with over $250 million in assets expected to emerge from bankruptcy. The Bankruptcy Calendar routinely publishes full reports on companies that are poised for a near-term exit from bankruptcy, as well as recently emerged companies that present investors with compelling return potential. Upon request the authors will produce bespoke work for clients requesting analysis of individual companies.
PDF July 2011 Bankruptcy Calendar


Muzea Insider Consulting Muzea
Since 1973, Muzea Insider Consulting Services has specialized in the analysis of corporate insider activity to determine each insider's skill in open market buying and selling. Individual rankings are assigned to insiders based upon their predictive ability, which are incorporated into the generation of company-specific buy and sell signals. Custom portfolio monitoring is provided to track insider activity and alert clients to any unusual or significant insider patterns. A team of insider analysts review every Form 4 on a daily basis to ensure timely analysis of insider activity trends on a company, industry and sector level. This information is communicated through emailed reports, a comprehensive website, and routine conference calls with clients.
PDF Daily Insider Stock Ranking Report - Sample morning email highlighting signficant insider transactions from previous day
PDF "Weekly Macro Report" sample highlighting insider transaction trends within each sector.
PDF Performance results for positive and negative signals 1999 through September 2009.


The Devil's Advocate Report Horizon Research Group
The Devil’s Advocate Report produces short-sale recommendations on highly visible, large capitalization stocks. The author, Murray Stahl, believes that we've entered a period in which disruptive technologies will cause a severe shortening of product lifecycles, resulting in compressed margins and dramatic declines in growth rates. After several years of multiple expansion, many companies trade at valuations resembling the logical absurdities that were so prevalent ten years ago - valuations that don't reflect the onset of a painful transitional period. Wall Street's earnings estimates for many of these companies are far too optimistic and don't properly reflect these risks. As the inability of these companies to meet these aggressive forecasts becomes apparent, many stocks will experience large adverse reactions. The Devil's Advocate Report focuses on the identification of these companies.
PDF Short Recommendation - Netflix, Inc. - August 13, 2010
PDF April 2010 Devils Advocate Compendium
PDF Short Recommendation - CenturyLink, Inc. - January 21, 2011


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